Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002295 0.002432 0.002577 0.002744 0.002931 0.003135 0.003376
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002065 0.002250 0.002457 0.002708 0.003008 0.003360 0.003815
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001933 0.002152 0.002406 0.002730 0.003140 0.003655 0.004376
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001817 0.002056 0.002342 0.002720 0.003221 0.003889 0.004900
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001709 0.001958 0.002263 0.002677 0.003247 0.004046 0.005340
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001662 0.001929 0.002264 0.002735 0.003411 0.004415 0.006192
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001614 0.001893 0.002251 0.002769 0.003542 0.004754 0.007096
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001544 0.001825 0.002190 0.002728 0.003554 0.004901 0.007688
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001470 0.001746 0.002109 0.002650 0.003498 0.004923 0.008030
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001427 0.001706 0.002078 0.002643 0.003552 0.005143 0.008892
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001345 0.001609 0.001963 0.002503 0.003374 0.004911 0.008589
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001315 0.001583 0.001947 0.002509 0.003440 0.005151 0.009590
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001292 0.001566 0.001942 0.002537 0.003551 0.005511 0.011186
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001256 0.001529 0.001909 0.002517 0.003577 0.005705 0.012433
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001235 0.001513 0.001904 0.002541 0.003686 0.006105 0.014834
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001207 0.001485 0.001881 0.002535 0.003736 0.006382 0.017131
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001173 0.001448 0.001841 0.002497 0.003722 0.006501 0.018863
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001163 0.001445 0.001854 0.002549 0.003890 0.007138 0.025221
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001149 0.001435 0.001854 0.002579 0.004019 0.007719 0.034054
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001121 0.001403 0.001818 0.002543 0.004002 0.007863 0.039506
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001086 0.001361 0.001766 0.002475 0.003908 0.007743 0.040978
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001067 0.001342 0.001749 0.002468 0.003951 0.008081 0.053499
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001023 0.001283 0.001668 0.002343 0.003719 0.007453 0.042560